I am struggling with this preview. I do not see a strength or weakness in the Green Bay defense. They are 14^th overall in total defense, 18^th in passing defense, and 17^th in run defense. If there is one area they stand out, it is sacks. They lead the league with 21 sacks. At the same time, they have one guy, Clay Matthews, with almost half of those sacks.

With the offense, it is obvious. When Aaron Rodgers is on, their passing game is almost unstoppable because they have so many weapons for Rodgers to target. Their running game lacks any oomph. This season, their success has depended on Rodgers. Last season, he was nearly perfect and Green Bay was 15-1. This season he has shown that he is human (on occasions) and Green Bay is 3-3, with one highly disputed loss to Seattle.

The real question is whether a defense can cause Rodgers to be off his game or whether it is simply a matter of luck. Houston was 5-0 going into their game against Green Bay, and they had a highly ranked defense. Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers in particular, came in angry and scored 42 points.  Rodgers was 24 for 37, for 338 yards, 6 touchdowns and zero interceptions.  Certainly, the defense in that game was not able to stop him. If you blitzed him, he killed you with a quick pass. If you rushed 3 and dropped 8, he took his time and found a hole or ran.

With no obvious holes to attack, I think the Rams need to take some risks in this game.  Here are my thoughts to give the Rams the best chance to win:

1.         WELCOME TO THE TERROR DOME

In the words of Chuck D.

I got so much trouble on my mind

Refuse to lose

Here’s your ticket

Hear the (crowd) get wicked

If we want to increase our chances of a down game from Aaron Rodgers, it starts with the crowd. There is no doubt that a noisy environment can affect an offense. Communication is vital. The offensive line has to communicate about blocking responsibility. The QB has to communicate about audibles. The Rams’ fans have a role in this game. If we can make the Edward Jones dome, the Terror Dome for Green Bay they will help the Rams tremendously. I will be there doing my part.

On a side note, the Terror Dome is a wonderful nickname for the Ed because it also creates fear that the Rams will move. It is the sole reason for a potential move.     

2.         BE UNPREDICTABLE ON DEFENSE

I would love to say we should blitz Rodgers on every obvious passing situation. It makes me feel good to say it. However, we saw what a blitz heavy defense can do for an offense in the Washington game. The Rams had one of their best offensive performances of the year because a blitz creates holes. If you can predict a blitz is coming, you can attack it. Therefore, I want to see a nice mix of 6-man blitzes, zone blitzes, corner blitzes and no blitz. In all honesty, it would be great if we could create pressure consistently with our front four. However, I believe that is unrealistic. Therefore, I want the Rams to switch up often. If Rodgers cannot predict our method of attack, we have a chance.

3.         STOP THE RUN

The Rams run defense has continued to improve. Green Bay is the 23^rd ranked rushing offense.  The Rams are now the 14^th best rush defense. Cedric Benson will miss the game for Green Bay. Wherefore, the Rams have no choice; they have to stop the run. Stopping the run will make Green Bay more predictable and we saw what happened when Green Bay becomes predictable in the 1^st half of the Seattle game.

4.         RUN, RUN AND RUN SOME MORE

The Rams’ running game is vital, because it has so many advantages. A run eats up the clock, which means less time for the Green Bay offense. With two running backs now, we need to run more to ensure each gets sufficient carries. Steven Jackson has historically improved with more touches. He wears a team down. If Steven Jackson is going to lose carries to Richardson, we need to ensure there are more carries overall to increase @SJ39’s total carries. Richardson has to get sufficient carries because he adds a dimension that Steven Jackson no longer offers. In the end, we can’t run on every first down or run 75% of the time. In the NFL, predictability on offense makes defense easy. Thus, I am asking for a 54% to 60% runs. In the passing game, I want to take some risks. I realize that Green Bay can rush the passer, but to have success in the running game, we can’t allow the safety to sneak up. Four to five deep throws should keep the safeties at home.

5.         GIVENS GIVETH?

We know that Givens can beat anyone deep. Obviously, I want to continue to throw deep balls to him. At the same time, let’s see what he can do with some shorter passes also. The West Coast offense made its reputation with 10 yard passes that led to 60 yard touchdowns. I would like to see some bunch up screens to Givens where he gets a pick or two. I would also like to see a slant or two, where the tight end is ready to throw a block to spring him. I asked for some deep throws in the paragraph above. They do not all need to be to Givens. In fact, after one to Givens, he might be an excellent decoy to draw the safety away from the intended target. Gibson can get deep and is showing an ability to both drop a ball and make a tremendous catch. I do not mind a drop on deep throw.  Also, while we are waiting for Quick to develop, a 9 route (Go or Fly) makes a ton of sense to me.

6.         BEWARE THE WEAPONS

This will be the first game since Detroit, where the team we are playing has multiple weapons in the passing game. While our pass defense has been excellent this season, it will be tested. We have three above-average corner backs. Unfortunately, Green Bay has more than three above-average targets in their passing game. Our linebackers and safeties are going to be tested in this game. Trumaine Johnson is going to be tested in this game. It will be interesting to see how this works out for us.  

Pre-Snap

The Rams come out in 11 personnel (1 running back, 1 tight end). They are in the hurry-up as the 1st half is coming to a close. Bradford and company have already gone 42 yards on 7 plays, but time is running out to get into scoring position. 

As the Chiefs begin to plummet into obscurity, Dwayne Bowe wants out. Again. 

The talented receiver is the only weapon in the Kansas City passing game, but with only a one-year deal in his pocket and a crashing tide of changes due to hit his team, he may no longer be a part of their long-term plans. Chiefs GM Scott Pioli would be foolish not to listen to offers before the NFL's trade deadline, but should a team like the Rams be picking up the phone? 

If you were Les Snead, and you could get Bowe for a similar price as Anquan Boldin (give up 3rd and 4th round picks for the WR and a 5th-rounder), would you pull the trigger? There are pros and cons to either answer to this question. Here, two members of the RamsHerd staff take sides and square off. 

Syllogisms are often used to form conclusions in sports. For those that do not study logic, a syllogism is a form of a logical argument where the conclusion is inferred from two prior statements. An easy example is:

All humans will eventually die.

All football players are humans.

All football players will eventually die.

After the last two games, I began asking myself whether the following syllogism is true:

Michael Brockers played without injury in the Arizona and Miami game.

The Rams run defense improved dramatically in the Arizona and Miami game.

Michael Brockers improved the Rams run defense.

The title to this article is the conclusion of the above syllogism. I put it in the form of a question because I am a naturally curious person. I like to know the answer to the question why. Therefore, I went back and watched every run play in the Arizona and Miami game.[1]  

The Arizona Cardinals wanted to run the ball against the St. Louis Rams. They were lucky to get 45 total rushing yards. Miami was planning on “taking advantage” of the Rams poor run defense.  The Dolphins ran the ball 18 times for a whopping 19 yards.  Therefore, the first two statements of the syllogism are true. However, after reviewing the film, it is difficult to say that Michael Brockers is the one person who is responsible for the improvement.

The St. Louis Rams were the better team last week, looking at numbers only. The Rams had 462 total yards to the Dolphin’s 192 yards. The Rams had 22 first downs. The Dolphins only had 12. The vaunted number-one-ranked run defense allowed 6 yards a carry and 162 total rushing yards. Not surprisingly, the Rams also lead in time of possession by almost seven minutes. 

Nevertheless, the Rams lost the game. How? Well, the Rams also lead in turnovers with three fumbles with one actual turnover. They also lead in penalties. The Rams had 12 penalties for 94 yards, while the dolphins only had 5 penalties for 40 yards. The victory in penalties was surprising given the dolphins huge advantage with Incognito on their roster. Finally, the Dolphins capitalized on their opportunities, while the Rams squandered theirs.

The second quarter, in particular, exemplified the massive discrepancy in taking advantage of opportunities. The Dolphins had a miserable first drive with four penalties and no first downs.  However, the Dolphins boomed a 63 yard punt, which negated any field position advantage the Rams may have earned. The Rams drove from their own 27 to the Dolphins 34, but missed the field goal. The Dolphins now had great field position, and took advantage of it with a touchdown. The Rams proceeded to fumble the next kickoff, giving the Dolphins amazing field position at the Rams 25. The Dolphins gained exactly 0 yards, but still kicked a field goal for another three points. On the next possession, the Rams had a 59 yard drive, but missed the field goal. Miami took advantage, while the Rams failed.

Let’s now take a look at the factors I suggested were important to a win and determine whether there was any validity.

Preview 1 - SCREEN TO RUN

The St Louis Rams will play host to a sell-out crowd of football-crazed fans in a couple of weeks, but this "home" game will be six time zones away. While I have my reservations about the NFL's expansion across the pond, there is no doubt that there are folks over there who love our game.

Now they want to know about us: Why do we love the Rams? Answer this survey, and have a chance to win an autographed Sam Bradford helmet. I did it, it's painless, I promise.

Thanks is due to one of those football-mad Brits I was talking about earlier, Ross Miles. Ross has been a friend of the RamsHerd since our earliest days. (In fact, @RossMiles is officially listed as follower number 7 of 1600+., so there you go.) Ross is now lucky enough to work directly for the NFL as a European social media ambassador. Which, if I understand correctly, means he gets to wear a sash when he tweets, and is also diplomatically immune from Twitter Jail.

It's hard to blame the gameplan when you out-gain your opponent by nearly 200 yards. It's hard to blame the defense when they utterly shut down the biggest threats in the Dolphins offense. It's hard to blame the refs when they gift-wrap two huge calls for you, taking fumbles off the board. It's hard to blame Sam Bradford when he averages better than 8 yards per pass (but some will surely try). 

The Rams were undone not by a single player or a single play, or by a single player (no, not even rookie kicker Greg Zuerlein, who missed three field goals wide left from 48, 52 and 66), but by a series of little mistakes. The arithmetic of football added up against St Louis today - shoot yourself in the foot more times than your opponent, and you likely end up in the loss column.